average exchange rate of hryvnia up in 2010 is expected to reach 8,15 UAH. dollars. This was reported by expert centers “CASE-Ukraine Olga Kravets. She said that in general for the Center does not expect significant fluctuations hryvnia, while speculative fluctuations or oscillations due to panic, everything is possible.

“We do not expect any significant long-term fluctuations. Maybe after the election would be minor races, but they will be short, - said Oleg Kravets. - Up to 20 cents a really, because we have a course very sensitive to the mood of the population, so possible, including, depending on the results of the elections will be some short-term fluctuations exactly on the cash market. &a1000mp;quot;
At the same time, she noted that the short duration of these fluctuations determines undertaken now sufficiently robust policy NBU aimed at smoothing the sharp fluctuations of the national currency.

O. Kravetz said that the projected center, the hryvnia exchange rate will fluctuate in the range of 8,0-8,5 UAH /USD., while if the 2009 exchange rate are more likely to mark in 8,5 UAH. /dollars, then this year it is expected that the national currency will tend to 8,00 UAH /USD.

According to her, it will be caused by reduction of pressure on the currency market, in connection with the redemption and restructuring in 2009, the bulk of external debt, thus, affect the course will be mainly political situation.
“According to the latest National Bank, approximately 70% of external debt is restructured, it is a significant burden on the foreign exchange market will not be. So it all depends on the political situation in the country,” - said the expert.

regarding the impact on the exchange rate of hryvnia restoration of Ukraine”s cooperation with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), she noted that the fact that the restoration of cooperation will play a positive signal to the market, and its influence on the exchange rate will not be significant.

“NBU today has enough reserves to keep the hryvnia exchange rate, but the IMF support for the domestic market and external, is a positive sign of economic recovery of Ukraine” - said Oleg Kravets.