April 29th, 2010
While the whole world fighting for the right production and marketing of an increasingly technology-related products with additional income, Ukraine almost two decades, is moving in the opposite direction - to the deindustrialization of the national economy, said Dr. Sergei Korablin Economic Sciences.
“In the early 90″s, few talked about the risk of commodity redevelopment of Ukraine. Today it is no longer a risk and not a threat but a fait accompli, not causing any discussions,” - states Korablin.
According to the expert, on the eve of the crisis the share of commodities within the domestic industry was 70% against 14,6% of investment goods. Similar relationships are observed in the structure of merchandise exports. Moreover, if in the 80 years it dominated the production of machinery - approximately 37% and the share of ferrous metallurgy was two times less (18%), in the 2005-2008 year have been observed directly opposite proportions: Engineering - 15% black Metallurgy - 40%, says the analyst.
For example, during 1990-2008, the proportion of machinery in the industrial structure of the country has declined by half - from 31 to 14%, while in the steel industry, by contrast, has grown - from 11 to almost 27%.
“Independent Ukraine, it seems, has not realized that its legacy aircraft industry - technological luxury, the right of possession which belongs to only a few countries. And if, contrary to national policy, it is not lost, it was only due mortgaged once the reserve of strength, which is not limitless. Moreover, the domestic aviation industry has long lost the signs of mass production, huddled up to build a few planes a year “, - noted the expert.
Thus an apparent “attenuation” of innovation, notes Korablin. Thus, the associated development of industrial production declined in 2003-2008 tripled.
“While the leading countries see their future with nanotechnology, in Ukraine, it again depends on the coal and iron formations of Donbass and Kryvorizhzhya. At that one hundred years ago, their power reflects the new horizons of the domestic economy, but today - its” post-industrial “past”, - he stressed.
In his view, the legalization of capturing people”s property development of the production has lost all meaning, since its yield did not go to any comparison with the possibility of instant enrichment through the legal expropriation of “orphan” companies.
“domestic economy seems to be fully adapted to the new status of raw materials periphery. At the same time its dynamics rather rigidly tied to movement in world prices for steel, chemical, grain and sunflowers. In this respect, arguments about the economic achievements of today”s political opponents rather conventional. Just one more fortunate, and others - less “- he states.
According Korablina, the deepening of commodity specialization not only binds the Ukrainian economy to the economic cycle, its industrial partners, but also increases the amplitude of its short-term fluctuations. This technology reduces the wilting productive capacity and future opportunities of the country.
“Hope for the foreign investors are unfounded because they are developing their policies, taking into account local priorities. Thus, at the beginning of last year in the structure of foreign direct investment attracted by the years of independence, investment in real esaeftate operations in more than eight times the volume of investment in machinery . What is a good indicator of the magnitude of economic problems to be solved by Ukraine “, - he concluded.
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